Year-over-year inflation came in at 4.9% in the 4th quarter 2020, and Real Gross Domestic Product shrank by a significant -9.8%. Bad news indeed – but you would never know it by the way the stock market is behaving. More on that in a bit. Inflation (a.k.a. the cost of money) has no choice but...Read More
New wave trading app Robinhood is the latest example of Wall Street’s corruption and it should alarm all of us. GameStop, both victim and beneficiary of bad policy, is not an isolated instance nor is it limited to the Davey and Goliath plotline. The only way to appreciate how it affects each and every one...Read More
In any analysis of Trump it is important to recall how he actually made it into office. The biggest draw to him was that he wasn’t one of them – a career politician beholden to special interest money. That independence, along with his willingness to fight as dirty as his political rivals, were refreshing changes...Read More
Think of how crazy our world is today… Political turmoil has never been greater and it’s impossible not to feel disenfranchised by both political Parties. The entire government apparatus – FBI, CIA, IRS, DOJ, the court system and Federal Reserve, Cabinet Members for any administration and every new Congress – have proven to be nothing...Read More
The long awaited 3rd quarter numbers were released a few days before the election and seemingly no one took notice. Stocks gained one-percent that day, Thursday, October 29, only to lose the same amount on the following day. And with the election just around the corner from that weekend, a typical Wall Street response would...Read More
Successful investors have the ability to separate policy from politics – and to completely disregard the latter. Understanding the link from policy to profit is important because it affects both market activity and behavior and therefore prices, which then helps investors to either capitalize on, or hedge against, expected market trends. Healthcare is a great...Read More
Timing is one of the things that scares people away from taking control over their investment capital. The question of when to act – to buy, sell, or hold – paralyzes many because they don’t have guidelines that make action easy. My method, for instance, takes the guesswork out of decision making by inserting triggers...Read More
The government reported an economic contraction of 34% in the 2nd quarter of 2020 and I’m not so sure how they came up with that. Using the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis’s (BEA) raw datasets the annualized change from Q1’s $19.0 trillion economy to a $17.2 trillion economy in Q2 calculates to a contraction of...Read More
The 2nd quarter is over and the economy is still far from where it was before Trump gave the order to shelter in place. In what was promised to be a short two week quarantine in March ended up destroying the entire 2nd quarter economy – numbers are due out in a couple of weeks....Read More
The last time a major correction was unfolding right before my eyes I was four years into writing the first edition of LOSE YOUR BROKER NOT YOUR MONEY. The first several drafts contained extensive analysis that forecasted the major correction that was developing as the housing-boom approached its predictable end. And then bang, it happened....Read More
