The government reported an economic contraction of 34% in the 2nd quarter of 2020 and I’m not so sure how they came up with that. Using the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis’s (BEA) raw datasets the annualized change from Q1’s $19.0 trillion economy to a $17.2 trillion economy in Q2 calculates to a contraction of...Read More

The 2nd quarter is over and the economy is still far from where it was before Trump gave the order to shelter in place. In what was promised to be a short two week quarantine in March ended up destroying the entire 2nd quarter economy – numbers are due out in a couple of weeks....Read More

The last time a major correction was unfolding right before my eyes I was four years into writing the first edition of LOSE YOUR BROKER NOT YOUR MONEY. The first several drafts contained extensive analysis that forecasted the major correction that was developing as the housing-boom approached its predictable end. And then bang, it happened....Read More

Both are pretty scary in their own right but for me it’s the virus because I’m not a doctor or virologist and only know what’s in the news – and I know how unreliable that is. But what is happening in the financial markets was bound to happen, and quite frankly, long overdue. Those who...Read More

Success is a constant pursuit, not a moment in time – especially when it comes to investment. Those looking for overnight success are gamblers, who must rely on luck to win. And that is the riskiest approach to take with investment. The least risky tactic, therefore, is one that seeks success over a long period...Read More

Investment is more of a discipline than anything else. You must have rules and boundaries – and you must honor them, or else they don’t exist.  In my book I mention my rule not to invest in public equity stocks with prices less than $15. It’s a hard and fast standard, and something I just...Read More