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The most popular question on everyone’s mind is not whether a major correction will ever occur but when will it actually arrive. The answer to that mystery is as predictable as it is elusive. To put it plainly, the proverbial shit will hit the fan as soon as inflation heats up to the point it...
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The importance of employing a well-defined method of allocation cannot be oversold. It makes everything so much easier, from stock selection to decision making, to understanding how your portfolio will behave under any market condition. The reason many consider the stock market to be scary is because they have no idea what to expect from...
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In the old days stock market trends were somewhat connected to the condition of the market economy and its activity. When the economy was booming stocks were rising. When the economy was in recession stocks would fall. That is no longer the case. Today there is literally no connection between the two. Stocks are at...
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Year-over-year inflation came in at 4.9% in the 4th quarter 2020, and Real Gross Domestic Product shrank by a significant -9.8%. Bad news indeed – but you would never know it by the way the stock market is behaving. More on that in a bit. Inflation (a.k.a. the cost of money) has no choice but...
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New wave trading app Robinhood is the latest example of Wall Street’s corruption and it should alarm all of us. GameStop, both victim and beneficiary of bad policy, is not an isolated instance nor is it limited to the Davey and Goliath plotline. The only way to appreciate how it affects each and every one...
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In any analysis of Trump it is important to recall how he actually made it into office. The biggest draw to him was that he wasn’t one of them – a career politician beholden to special interest money. That independence, along with his willingness to fight as dirty as his political rivals, were refreshing changes...
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Think of how crazy our world is today… Political turmoil has never been greater and it’s impossible not to feel disenfranchised by both political Parties. The entire government apparatus – FBI, CIA, IRS, DOJ, the court system and Federal Reserve, Cabinet Members for any administration and every new Congress – have proven to be nothing...
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The long awaited 3rd quarter numbers were released a few days before the election and seemingly no one took notice. Stocks gained one-percent that day, Thursday, October 29, only to lose the same amount on the following day. And with the election just around the corner from that weekend, a typical Wall Street response would...
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Successful investors have the ability to separate policy from politics – and to completely disregard the latter. Understanding the link from policy to profit is important because it affects both market activity and behavior and therefore prices, which then helps investors to either capitalize on, or hedge against, expected market trends. Healthcare is a great...
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Timing is one of the things that scares people away from taking control over their investment capital. The question of when to act – to buy, sell, or hold – paralyzes many because they don’t have guidelines that make action easy.  My method, for instance, takes the guesswork out of decision making by inserting triggers...
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